Post by mcnutt on Aug 30, 2018 19:11:44 GMT
he NPR coverage of Senator McCain’s death mentioned that, in his autobiography, he expressed regret for naming Sarah Palin as his running mate and wished he had picked Joe Lieberman.
>> What if he did pick Lieberman? He could not have convinced a majority of the Republican Convention delegates to vote for a pro choice and pro Gay rights Democrat. After the rejection of Lieberman, he would have chosen Palin. She would have been nominated on the second ballot. Palin would have come with all her negatives but much less of her positives. She is limited in her role as a bridge builder to social conservatives. McCain would have alienated many of them.
>> The popular vote would have been Barack Obama’55 percent, John McCain 39 percent and Alan Keyes 4 percent. The Electoral College would be Obama 459 ( That is the OTL Obama states plus Georgia, South Carolina, Missouri, Mississippi, Texas, South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana and Arizona.) and McCain 79.
>> The social conservative stay at homes would have helped the entire Democratic ticket. The House majority is 295 instead of the OTL 259. In the Senate, the Democrats hold a 62 to 38 margin not the OTL 60 to 40. In the Georgia Senate race, Democrat Jim Martin beats Republican Saxby Chambliss without a runoff. In Kentucky, Mitch McConnell loses.
>> In 2010, we see after effects of this TL. With a bigger House majority, Democrats can inset a Public Option in the Affordable Care Act. In that year’s special Senate election, for the seat of the late Ted Kennedy, Republican Scott Brown is not going to end the Democrats filibuster proof majority. So he may not get the money and attention he needs to win. If he does win, he only lowers the Democratic majority from 62 to a still filibuster proof 61. So the Dream Act passes.
>> There are after effects of this TL that effect us today. Businesses figure out they can save money by switching their employees to the public option. So the USA is a country with socialized medicine. There is no controversy over DACA. There is no DACA. Dreamers are protected by federal law. There is different Republican leader in the US Senate.
>> What if he did pick Lieberman? He could not have convinced a majority of the Republican Convention delegates to vote for a pro choice and pro Gay rights Democrat. After the rejection of Lieberman, he would have chosen Palin. She would have been nominated on the second ballot. Palin would have come with all her negatives but much less of her positives. She is limited in her role as a bridge builder to social conservatives. McCain would have alienated many of them.
>> The popular vote would have been Barack Obama’55 percent, John McCain 39 percent and Alan Keyes 4 percent. The Electoral College would be Obama 459 ( That is the OTL Obama states plus Georgia, South Carolina, Missouri, Mississippi, Texas, South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana and Arizona.) and McCain 79.
>> The social conservative stay at homes would have helped the entire Democratic ticket. The House majority is 295 instead of the OTL 259. In the Senate, the Democrats hold a 62 to 38 margin not the OTL 60 to 40. In the Georgia Senate race, Democrat Jim Martin beats Republican Saxby Chambliss without a runoff. In Kentucky, Mitch McConnell loses.
>> In 2010, we see after effects of this TL. With a bigger House majority, Democrats can inset a Public Option in the Affordable Care Act. In that year’s special Senate election, for the seat of the late Ted Kennedy, Republican Scott Brown is not going to end the Democrats filibuster proof majority. So he may not get the money and attention he needs to win. If he does win, he only lowers the Democratic majority from 62 to a still filibuster proof 61. So the Dream Act passes.
>> There are after effects of this TL that effect us today. Businesses figure out they can save money by switching their employees to the public option. So the USA is a country with socialized medicine. There is no controversy over DACA. There is no DACA. Dreamers are protected by federal law. There is different Republican leader in the US Senate.
