The US, UK, France, and Gulf Allies intervene in the Syrian Civil War after the chemical attacks of

[stevep]

Nov 23, 2020 3:45:27 GMT gillan1220 said:

This is another question. What if Turkey intervened in the Syrian Civil War in June 2012 following the shootdown of the Turkish F-4 Phantom? How would the U.S. - one that has bases in Turkey - and Russia react to this?

  Interesting point.  You could see some heavy fighting but Erdoğan, who was PM rather than President at that point might find it a useful argument, especially protecting Sunnis against the Alawi regime which is more closely associated with the Shia branch of Islam.  Which could move Turkey on a more Islamic path earlier but could well also cause problems with the Kurds and possibly with the army.  [Although if the country is engaged in a full scale was the army could be too busy to realistically oppose him.

  Iran would definitely try and support Assad's regime but can't remember what the situation in Iraq was at the time and how easily Iran could send aid to Syria.  Not sure what the position of Moscow and Washington would be in those circumstances. 

[gillan1220]

Nov 23, 2020 16:44:03 GMT stevep said:

Nov 23, 2020 3:45:27 GMT gillan1220 said:

This is another question. What if Turkey intervened in the Syrian Civil War in June 2012 following the shootdown of the Turkish F-4 Phantom? How would the U.S. - one that has bases in Turkey - and Russia react to this?

  Interesting point.  You could see some heavy fighting but Erdoğan, who was PM rather than President at that point might find it a useful argument, especially protecting Sunnis against the Alawi regime which is more closely associated with the Shia branch of Islam.  Which could move Turkey on a more Islamic path earlier but could well also cause problems with the Kurds and possibly with the army.  [Although if the country is engaged in a full scale was the army could be too busy to realistically oppose him.

  Iran would definitely try and support Assad's regime but can't remember what the situation in Iraq was at the time and how easily Iran could send aid to Syria.  Not sure what the position of Moscow and Washington would be in those circumstances. 

It is gonna complicate the situation of Kurdistan while diplomats the US State Department and Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs would have a headache trying to come up with a solution. This may also push some form of limited Russian intervention.

In our timeline, the years 2012-2016 were the most volatile years of the Syrian Civil War since those were the years of multiple foreign interventions. However, seeing what happened in OTL, Syria still would not be resolved whether the Turks intervened in 2012 or if NATO did their limited strikes in 2013.