Post by DMZ on Jul 19, 2023 21:46:30 GMT
This is point. But more important is "how" rather than "with what".
Remember Germany devoted OTL a lot of units and ressources to secure Norway against an expected landing on its coasts, could they deploy more in Northern Norway? In addition, the front line near Bodø is very short and the area is montaneous and impassable to motorized vehicules. I didn't figure out yet how the Germans could try to break the front (this is the major reason why I didn't go further in this uchrony).
Regarding he situation in Mediterranean Sea, I don't see a lot of change until the fall of 1940 as Italian are not involved in Norway and British are less affraid of an invasion as long as Germans are stuck in Norway. British will be replaced by the Poles and the norwegian army will ramp up quite quickly. Once again, attackers will have a hard time to break through and it's a long, long way to Tromsø...
That means the first impact will be on Luftwaffe that would have to maintain big units on the Polar Circle that won't be available to attack Great Brittain or to help Italians in North Africa (esp. X. Fliegerkorps).
Here again, no major change and if one theater have o be priorized, it would be Egypt as the defense of Suez Canal is of the utmost importance to the defense of the Empire and Arabian oil fileds. Compass will occur as IOTL. Then all the questions about English and German involvment in Greece are relevant.
Not sure the RN needs to allocate too many ships to Norway. Remember the twins are out (one for a while and the other sunk) and the Bismarck not yet ready. Until september, U-boots will be at risk on Norwegian Sea due to long day light and Allied air cover will be much more efficient than during the ill-fated PQ-17 journey...
Plus German will have to chose Norway or Western Approaches... Can't be strong anywhere.
Stalin knew Hitler will attack Soviet Union at the end. Helping him in Norway, meaning declaring war to United Kingdom, was the last thing to do for him.
And the Finns was not really willing to be on German side, it was only when all western aid was out after the fall of Norway that Finland gradualy asked for Germany help. ITTL, United Kingdom and USA could provide more economical and military ressources than the Axe. Finland and Sweden will remain neutral but closer to the Allies.
Plus Northen Norway was supplied through Sweden IOTL and not Finland from Norway.
"Les deux mon Général !" (French common joke)
Hitler will likely give high priority to both: Norway started earlier than Western invasion and have to be finished and making peace with Great Brittain will free him to swap to USSR.