If Poland keeps the Kresy, is the rest of Ukraine going to remain in Russia's orbit?
Sept 24, 2018 1:38:53 GMT
Post by futurist on Sept 24, 2018 1:38:53 GMT
Here's my scenario: Britain and France confront Hitler over the Sudetenland. German Generals who are scared of a new World War quickly overthrow Hitler and the Nazis, thus preventing the outbreak of World War II. In this scenario, Poland is never attacked by Germany and thus gets to keep all of its 1937 territories (Poland never acquires Teschen in this scenario, though).
Fast-forward several decades later, and the Soviet Union still collapses either near the end of the 20th century or in the early 21st century. Now, my question is this:
Does the rest of Ukraine (as in, the parts of Ukraine that were previously under Soviet rule in this TL--which would exclude Galicia, Volhynia, northern Bukovina, Subcarpathian Ruthenia, and the Budjak) eventually fall back into Russia's orbit after the end of the Cold War in this scenario--perhaps with this process culminating in a new political union between Ukraine and Russia? Or does Ukraine still maintain its independence in this scenario and maintain a distance from Russia?
I know that Poland had a program to promote the break-up of the Soviet Union in the interwar years--a program which would have likely continued for decades in this scenario due to the lack of World War II:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prometheism
However, with Ukraine's most anti-Russian parts remaining under Polish rule, would there have been enough support in Ukraine for Ukraine to still pursue a pro-Western course in this scenario?
Any thoughts on this?
Fast-forward several decades later, and the Soviet Union still collapses either near the end of the 20th century or in the early 21st century. Now, my question is this:
Does the rest of Ukraine (as in, the parts of Ukraine that were previously under Soviet rule in this TL--which would exclude Galicia, Volhynia, northern Bukovina, Subcarpathian Ruthenia, and the Budjak) eventually fall back into Russia's orbit after the end of the Cold War in this scenario--perhaps with this process culminating in a new political union between Ukraine and Russia? Or does Ukraine still maintain its independence in this scenario and maintain a distance from Russia?
I know that Poland had a program to promote the break-up of the Soviet Union in the interwar years--a program which would have likely continued for decades in this scenario due to the lack of World War II:
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prometheism
However, with Ukraine's most anti-Russian parts remaining under Polish rule, would there have been enough support in Ukraine for Ukraine to still pursue a pro-Western course in this scenario?
Any thoughts on this?