Turkey's post-coup pressure on Incirlik Air Base escalates?

[forcon]

After the coup attempt in Turkey in July 2016, Turkey shut off power to the NATO base at Incirlik Air Base. What if the situation escalates beyond that?

Edrogan isn't insane enough to deliberately trigger a war with his own NATO allies, but say Turkish troops surround the base as a show of force and a fire fight breaks out accidentally, with the Turkish commanders on the scene responding harshly and attempting to seize the base?

What might be the political and military ramifications?

[James G]

While not impossible for a clash to occur, it would need a real spark to set it off. The Turkish military also has a long-term relationship with the US, better than the politicians do, so unless it is a dramatic spark, this limits any reaction beyond a short exchange of fire.