Realistic and Unusual Scenario for a Communist USA? Nov 24, 2020 6:28:28 GMT stevep likes this
Post by gillan1220 on Nov 24, 2020 6:28:28 GMT
The Venezuela Crisis of 1902-03 might be a good starting point for a USA to end up being tangled into a conflict with the European powers. However, the US might be a bit exhausted from the recent Philippine-American War and would not want to risk another conflict where they would certainly be defeated. However, the US might also justify the Monroe Doctrine as fact when the blockade occurs. If a general war between the US against Britain, Germany and maybe Italy, then it is most certain that Japan might also enter this conflict, but taking an opportunity to either support Philippine independence (only to turn them into their puppet state a la Manchukuo), or outright annex the country. Alternatively, they could go the Korea route with the Philippines with establishing them as their protectorate before launching their shenanigans that would lead to a Japanese annexation of the Philippines. Conversely, it might be too busy paying attention to their new acquisition down south to care about Korea and Russia instead becomes Korea's informal overlord. Or another alternative scenario would be that Russia and Japan would come to terms with Manchuria coming under Russian influence while Korea comes under Japanese influence.
Another angle to this would have been to keep President MacKinley alive by avoiding the assassination attempt, or have William Jennings Bryan win the 1900 US Presidential election instead. Having Bryan as President might certainly butterfly the annexations of the Philippines and Hawaii, instead supporting their governments (though in reality they might turn them into puppet states). Then have the American Anti-Imperialist League become infiltrated by leftists to the point where they would use said league to push for a revolutionary version of enforcing the Monroe Doctrine.
Actually, the First Philippine Republic (1898-1901) was friendly towards Japan since the Japanese had a long-term goal to drive the Europeans out of Asia. I could not see Japan annexing the entire Philippines at this period. She wasn't the strong power she would be in two generations. Since Aguinaldo saw the Japanese as allies, it would most likely be a satellite state or for the lack of better words, a pro-Japanese independent republic. The following article says the following regarding Filipino-Japanese relations:
Perhaps we can have a POD where the Filipino-American War becomes America's earlier Vietnam or Afghanistan-style of conflict. Remember in our timeline, the U.S. took 15 years to pacify the Moro Rebellion (1898-1913) in the south of the Philippines (see video below). This rebellion ended on June 15, 1913, almost just a year before World War I.
With the outbreak ofthe Philippine-American War in 1898, liaison between the Japanese shishi and the Filipino continued. Mariano Ponce (with some help from Sun Yat Sen) was able to procure funds and purchased Japanese weapons and a ship to transport the weapons to the Philippines. The arms were ostensi- bly sold to a Japanese company and then consigned to a German merchant as thefinal recipient. The ship itself was bought through Sun Y at Sen. The ship, the Nunobiki Mam, was an aged wooden vessel. It left Kobe for Nagasaki where it loaded 10,000 Murata rifles, six million rounds of ammunition, a few pieces of artillery and miscellaneous military equipment, and then proceeded to the Philippines. There were a number of ex-Japanese army officers on board who had resigned from the Japanese army so they could help Aguinaldo in a private capacity rather than follow Japanese official policy. However, almost like comical twist to the episode, the ship encountered a typhoon and sank off Shanghai. Thus, ended the only major-scale Japanese involvement in the Revolution.
How Did these Warriors Continue to Fight when Shot?
MORO Rebellion | Philippine American War
The only way this would have worked is if Japan or Imperial Germany sent more arms and aid to the Filipino rebels. By having the Filipino-American War extend into the 1910s and thus becoming a front of WWI (we could see American clashes over this area with Germany in the Pacific), the Americans back home would be overextended and war-weary. With the rise of communism in Russia, we could see that disenfranchised Americans slowly lean to socialist ideas.